Video Summary

The Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide are set to face off in a top-four matchup on Saturday night, with Georgia entering the game as a rare home underdog. Despite having two recent losses to Alabama, Georgia has gone 46-0 straight up in all other games since November 2020, raising questions about their viability as a road favorite.

WagerTalk's resident expert has run 10,000 simulations and sees Alabama winning by an average of six points, creating value with the Crimson Tide as a home dog. While Georgia's defense is among the best in the country, their offense is suspect, having only averaged 13 points per game so far this season. Meanwhile, Alabama has dominated on the line of scrimmage, rushing for at least 180 yards in all three of their games this year.

The expert is banking on Alabama's strengths and believes the revenge angle in Georgia's favor will have little impact. Despite the public's affection for the Bulldogs, the line has dropped significantly, from -5 in the lookahead line to -2 at some sportsbooks. For those looking to capitalize on the value, the recommendation is to take Alabama +2 on Saturday night, with the potential for line value and a profitable payout.