Video Summary

In the world of sports betting, understanding unders and overs is crucial for success. According to the author, unders account for around 20% of their bets, making it a valuable topic to explore. To profit from overs and unders, consider the following factors:

– Weather: Cold weather tends to reduce goal expectations, while hot and dry weather can lead to more goals.
– Player fatigue: Extreme weather conditions can lead to player exhaustion, impacting their performance.
– Referee decisions: The officiating style can significantly impact the course of a match, influencing the number of goals scored.
– Key player absences: Missing strikers or key defenders can alter team strategy and goal expectations.
– Tournaments: Certain leagues and tournaments, such as the EFL Cup, tend to have more goals than others.

When it comes to strategy, the author recommends using websites like Football XG and Understat to access valuable data and statistics. These resources can help identify trends, patterns, and expected goal (XG) numbers to inform betting decisions.

In terms of betting, liquidity is essential, as it allows for more competitive odds and increased margins. The author highlights the importance of waiting for market movements and covering both sides of a bet to mitigate risk.

Using a benchmarking system, the author showcases how to remove juice from odds and negate the margin. By adjusting goal expectancy and using the mpto system, bettors can make more informed decisions and increase their chances of success.