Video Summary

When it comes to in-play betting, it's essential to focus on finding value, just as you would before the match. Many people wait for the market to hit a certain price, like 1.8, but this doesn't necessarily mean it's a good time to bet. There are numerous factors to consider, such as team performance, score, and time remaining.

One effective way to find value is by using a model that provides insight into the fair odds of various outcomes. For example, it can show that when a team is up 1-0 at 30 minutes, the fair odds of them winning are around 1.4. This information can be used to identify potential value in the market.

Another valuable feature is the ability to access individual team statistics, such as how they perform in different situations, like being up 1-0 at 67 minutes. For instance, a model might show that Tottenham has won 80% of the time in this scenario, while Aston Villa has lost 60%. This information can help inform betting decisions and provide an edge.

The model is simple to use, requiring only the entry of league, home team, away team, and the current score and time. It provides a range of statistics, including fair odds, over/under 1.5 goals in the first half, and first-half results. Just be aware of the limitations of the model, such as the potential for less accurate results with smaller sample sizes. By using this model, in-play bettors can gain a better understanding of fair odds and make more informed decisions.