Video Summary

To make a profit on college football player props, you'll need to identify the top player most owned in DFS lineups across the nation. This requires access to paid websites that provide this information, as it's not free. Focus on top players, such as quarterbacks, running backs, and receivers, and their relevant stats like passing yards, rushing yards, and receiving yards.

Once you've identified the top player, look up their stats from previous seasons, but only use stats from the same team, as transfer rules now allow players to switch teams, making other stats unreliable. Focus on passing yards, as this stat is most affected by a quarterback's performance.

Compare their player prop over/under, which sets a threshold, such as 285 yards. Then, look at their performance in the previous season, noting how many times they went over or under that threshold. Calculate their average passing yards per game and how often they went over their average.

Next, identify the defense they'll be playing, ensuring it's ranked outside the top 100 in guarding the pass and receivers. If the defense is poor, there's a higher probability the quarterback will meet their average or exceed it.

Bet on the over/under by buying down to a number slightly under the quarterback's average, typically -150 to -170. This road to success is about understanding averages and using probability to make informed bets, focusing on the likelihood of a quarterback meeting their average passing yards. As Frank LeMaker says, “It's not that hard, guys. It's all about being disciplined and setting yourself up with the highest probability plays.”