Video Summary

Sports betting enthusiasts, listen up! When it comes to beating player prop bets, many bettors make the same mistake. But fear not, as we're about to debunk this pitfall and give you the edge you need to crush the market. You see, most critics rely on mean projections, but that's not the key to success. Instead, it's all about median projections. You see, sportsbooks care about your win-loss record, not how much you win or lose. They only care about whether you go over or under the line. So, if you're following mean projections, you'll end up on the wrong side of the bet, making it a losing proposition.

The solution? Use median projections instead. And here's the key: player performance doesn't follow a normal distribution. Instead, it's skewed to the positive side, which means the mean is higher than the median. This means that if you follow mean projections, you'll end up making a mistake. To get it right, you need to simulate the player's performance, using a simulator. This is where our Prop Odd Screen comes in. With this tool, you can import your projection set and run simulations to find the edge in the market. And the best part? This edge can be as high as 2%, giving you a significant advantage.

But don't just take our word for it. To get started, you need to identify your source of truth, load the projection set into the simulator, and shop for the best price. Remember, the prop betting market is less efficient than the major sports side or total market, so you may find some huge edges. Just be careful with big edges, as they can disappear quickly. And, of course, always be mindful of your stake size. By using median projections and following our guide, you can start crushing prop bets today. And, if you're interested in learning more, head on over to Unabated.com for our lower-tier service, designed specifically for the prop specialist.