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Value is a key concept in sports betting, and it's often misunderstood. Many people think that value is just a myth, but it's actually a concept that bookmakers and betting systems are built on. So, what is value? Simply put, value is what you can't make a profit in sports betting if you don't find it. It's the only way to make a profit in the long run. When a bookmaker sets odds, they're saying that the event has a certain probability of occurring. If you know the true probability of an event is higher than what the bookmaker says, you can make a profit by taking that bet. For example, if a bookmaker sets odds of 6 to 1, but you believe the true probability of winning is 20%, you can make a profit by taking that bet.
The question is, how do you determine if you have value? The answer is by looking at your overall performance over a long period, such as a month or a year. If you're winning more often than the odds suggest, you're finding value. To find value in form reading, stop looking at odds and try to get a gut feeling about which horses will win. Convert the odds to a probability, then compare it to your own assessment of the horse's chance of winning. If the bookmaker's odds are higher than your assessment, you may have a value bet. By using this method, you can make a long-term profit in sports betting. It's not easy, but it's the only way to succeed in the long run.
Horse racing bettors always use the phrase “value betting”. But what does it actually mean? How do you know if you have found …
Horse racing bettors always use the phrase “value betting”. But what does it actually mean? How do you know if you have found …